Subject: Uncontrolled Lunar Impact Predicted for 5 August 2026
From: Daniel Adamo <[email-masked]>
To: "ATIG (L-Z)" <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 10 May 2026 14:11:40 -0700

ATIG Members-

A Falcon 9 upper stage with International Designator 2025-010D launched on 15 January 2025 is predicted to impact the Moon at hypervelocity in less than 3 months.  The attached paper describes 2025-010D's trajectory and proceeds to suggest strategies leading to more responsible disposal of upper stages enabling missions to cislunar space and the Moon's surface.  This may sound like cosmic tree-hugging to some, but the Moon will soon supplant ISS as humanity's largest asset in space.  It's time we started protecting our only known natural satellite accordingly.  Questions and comments on this paper are invited.

-Dan